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NBA Free Picks - Grizz @ Celtics
Memphis Grizzlies (33-31 SU, 34-30 ATS) at Boston Celtics (40-22 SU, 24-37-1 ATS)
Wednesday, March 10 - 7:30 PM ET
By Aidan Yarborough
NBA Basketball Betting Odds: BOSTON -5, Total 194.5
Here are some of the NBA basketball betting trends for the Memphis Grizzlies:
* MEM has won four of its last six games SU
* MEM has played four of its last six games OVER the total
* MEM has won and covered its last six road games
* MEM has played 13 of its last 19 road games OVER the total
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Memphis is two games over the .500 mark, but the Grizzlies are in the Western Conference, which means that they are looking up at teams that are in playoff position. They are current four games behind the Portland Trail Blazers, who are in 8th place in the West, and 4.5 games behind the San Antonio Spurs. The Grizzlies play up-tempo, but they have not been particularly tough to score on, giving up almost 103 points a game and allowing a shade under 49% shooting.
Here are some of the NBA basketball betting trends for the Boston Celtics:
* BOS has covered seven of its last 25 games
* BOS has won four of its last five games SU
* BOS has played four of its last five games UNDER the total
* BOS has covered one of its last 14 home games
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The Celtics, if you look at the statistics, might be the stingiest team in the league, because they allow just 93.7 ppg. They've allowed just 5.5 three-pointers this season, which is third best in the league. Boston is one of the best shooting teams in the league, hitting 48.2%, but they have fallen short of that in their last two games, against the Wizards and Bucks. The Celts don't have any real hope of overtaking Cleveland in the East, but with an eight-game lead in the Atlantic Division it looks like they are going to be locked into a seed as a division winner.
Here are some of the head-to-head NBA basketball betting trends as they relate to this matchup:
* MEM is 13-4-2 ATS in the last 19 meetings
* BOS has won the last six meetings SU
* The last seven meetings have gone OVER the total
* MEM is 11-0-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings as the road team
* BOS has won four of the last five meetings SU as the home team
* Four of the last five meetings in Boston have gone OVER the total
* BOS has had the shooting edge in each of the last eight meetings
* BOS has made more three-pointers in six of the last eight meetings
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The Celtics have lost 11 games at home this season, and they have yet to win three straight at the TD Garden. That's pretty amazing when you think about it. Lat night;s game was pretty rough on them, as they had to fight all the way with Milwaukee at the Bradley Center and came out on the short end of an 86-84 score. Now, without rest, they will face a Memphis team that will have its leading scorer and All-Star representative back in the lineup after missing his first game of the season.
Zach Randolph missed Monday's game against the New Jersey Nets with back problems, but he returns here. Scoring will be a challenge for this young Grizzlies team, because Boston has held its last four opponents to totals in the 80s.
The Celtics have to buck a load of trends here. For one thing, they have covered only one of their last 14 home games. They are also just 6-14 ATS in the NBA basketball betting odds when coming off a straight-up defeat. Memphis, which has a day of rest coming into this game, has been a demon on the road, winning and covering all six as the visitor since the All-Star break. They have also compiled an 11-0-1 ATS record in the last dozen visits to Beantown.
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That's a lot to overcome. Boston also has won the last six meetings. Is there enough room in this line for the Grizz to sneak through? We think so. Let's grab five points with Memphis in the NBA basketball betting odds.
AIDANS PLAY: MEMPHIS +5 ***
(Graded on a scale of 1-4 stars)